2024 General Election Races

[Dave's Dreidel]

He has such an easy argument to make, and he screwed it up.

"One of the greatest assets a person in the world can have is a US citizenship. It gives you freedoms, opportunities, and protections few have. While I agree with my opponent that there needs to be a better path to citizenship, giving our citizenship away for free to anyone that crosses our border is not the right answer to solve the problem. If you have something of value and you give it away for free, it devalues it, and if I am elected to be your President, I will protect the value of your citizenship. A person needs to earn the right to be a US citizen, and that is not earned by entering our country illegally. There is a better way to do it, and here is my proposal....." and boom, go from there.

[jimmy812]

He has such an easy argument to make, and he screwed it up.

"One of the greatest assets a person in the world can have is a US citizenship. It gives you freedoms, opportunities, and protections few have. While I agree with my opponent that there needs to be a better path to citizenship, giving our citizenship away for free to anyone that crosses our border is not the right answer to solve the problem. If you have something of value and you give it away for free, it devalues it, and if I am elected to be your President, I will protect the value of your citizenship. A person needs to earn the right to be a US citizen, and that is not earned by entering our country illegally. There is a better way to do it, and here is my proposal....." and boom, go from there.

Or he could simply say that they're eating our dogs. But yours is good too, DD.

[bklynboy68]

Report: Most of Michigan’s ‘Uncommitted’ Community Won’t Support Kamala Harris

Nick Gilbertson 14 Sep 2024




It appears Most of Michigan’s “uncommitted” community, which protested the Biden-Harris administration’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war in the Democrat primary, will not back Vice President Kamala Harris in the general election, according to a report.

Ryan Grim, the co-host of Counter Points and editor of Drop Site News, wrote in his newsletter on Substack Friday that the temperature at the Arab-American Anti-Discrimination Committee conference in the Arab-dense city of Dearborn, Michigan, was cold toward Harris:


Much of the talk at the conference was about whether the community would wind up supporting Kamala Harris in the general election. The consensus seemed to be that the vast majority will not do so. Green Party nominee Jill Stein, ahead of Harris in some polls of Muslim voters here, even spoke on opening night and was given quite a warm welcome.


Michigan was notably where the uncommitted movement began. The “Listen to Michigan” campaign aimed to get 10,000 uncommitted votes in the Democrat primary to protest the Biden-Harris administration for a ceasefire in the war.

Listen to Michigan smashed its goal, as the uncommitted option garnered 100,000 votes, approaching the 154,188 vote margin that Biden won Michigan by against former President Donald Trump in the 2020 election. The movement includes Muslims, Arab Americans, young voters, and far-left progressives.

In Dearborn, Biden actually lost to the uncommitted option by a wide margin. Uncommitted drew 6,432 votes (57 percent), while Biden followed with 4,526 votes (40 percent).

The movement spread to other states, like Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania, as the Biden-Harris administration failed to secure a ceasefire deal. What is more, Biden signed legislation sending $26.3 billion in defense support to Israel in April, even after the uncommitted movement had made waves in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.


The divide on the left has persisted, if not worsened, despite Harris supplanting Biden at the top of the ticket in July. During her first interview with CNN, well over a month after becoming the presumptive Democrat nominee, Harris doubled down on her and Biden’s Israel policies.

She initially skirted a question from CNN’s Dana Bash about potentially withholding “some U.S. weapons shipments to Israel.” Bash followed up, asking, “But no change in policy in terms of arms and so forth?”

“No, we have to get a deal done,” Harris said.

“I remain committed — since I’ve been on October 8 — to what we must do to work toward a two-state solution where Israel is secure and, in equal measure, the Palestinians have security, self-determination, and dignity,” she went on to add.

Grim analyzed the interview the next day while hosting Breaking Points alongside the show’s regular host, Krystal Ball, and drilled down on Bash’s use of “some” in her line of question.




“The Biden administration has even said they would restrict ‘some’ weapons, like the 2,000-pound bombs used for offensive purposes,” he said.

“People keep saying that Harris is better rhetorically and more empathetic. Where’s the empathy there, when you’re actually not even standing by the tiniest of concessions that the Biden administration, her administration has made?” he added.

Grim’s report Friday also comes as Harris is losing to the Green Party’s Jill Stein and Trump with Muslim voters in Michigan, according to a poll from the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR).


The survey found that 40 percent of the Muslims who responded back Stein, 18 percent support Trump, and 12 percent back Harris. Another 21 percent are undecided.

The United Arab Emirates has notably categorized CAIR as a terrorist organization, and a U.S. federal judge ruled in 2009 that evidence existed “to establish” ties between CAIR and Hamas, as Breitbart News has noted:


In 2007-8, CAIR was named an unindicted co-conspirator in the terror financing trial of the Holy Land Foundation for Relief and Development. That case, in turn, led the FBI to discontinue its work with the organization. In 2009, a federal judge ruled that the government “produced ample evidence to establish” the ties of CAIR with Hamas, the Palestinian terror organization. The United Arab Emirates labeled CAIR a terrorist organization in 2014 (a decision that the Obama administration opposed).


The August 25-27 CAIR/Molitical Consulting LLC survey included 1,478 responses, “1076 of which were verified and matched to the national voter file,” and the margin of error is ±2.95 percentage points.




https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2...kamala-harris/

[I Coulda Hada VH]

Most recent 270 to win from using the most recent polling data from RCP and 538. No ties or battleground, this is based upon the assumption that the polls are accurate.


Harris - 277 ECV
Trump - 261

So, Kamala has to sweep the rust belt to win the election. My guess is that she won't.

[edwardv]

Shapiro will make sure she wins PA imo. Tom Wolf taught him well.

[bklynboy68]

Brand new for Sunday morning



Harris Flatlines In Post-Debate Polls Despite Claims Of Victory

September 15, 2024
11:22 AM ET



A new poll released Sunday shows Vice President Kamala Harris did not significantly move the needle in her favor despite viewers saying she won the debate, according to ABC News/Ipsos.

Following Tuesday’s presidential debate between Harris and former President Donald Trump, a handful of pundits predicted a polling boost for Harris. However, while 58% of Americans say Harris won the debate, she only gained one point compared to pre-debate polls, now holding 51% support to Trump’s 47% among registered voters, ABC News/Ipsos data shows.

The poll, which was produced by Langer Research Associated with fieldwork by Ipsos, surveyed 3,276 adults online between Sept. 11 – 13 and had a margin of sampling error of 2%. In addition to registered voter support, the poll shows among all adults Harris holds 51% with Trump at 46% and among likely voters Harris holds 52% with Trump at 46%.

Among the new post-debate data, 37% of voters viewed Harris more favorably after the debate compared to 23% who found her less favorable. However, the increase for Harris came mainly from her base, with 69% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents stating they found the vice president more favorable after the debate, as 34% of Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents found Trump more favorable, according to ABC News/Ipsos.

Immediately after the debate, singer Taylor Swift broke her silence on a much anticipated endorsement and revealed she would be supporting Harris come this November. While the move sparked online celebration from Democrats, it showed little impact in the polls, with just 6% of voters saying Swift’s endorsement made them more likely to vote for Harris.

In contrast, 13% said it made them less likely to support the vice president and 81% said it makes no difference, data shows.


Polling on support for the former president appears to have dropped roughly four points compared to August’s data, with the post debate poll now showing 56% of Trump supporters backing him strongly. In contrast, 62% of Harris supporters now back her strongly, according to the ABC News/Ipsos poll.

Despite this backing from supporters, 42% of voters found Trump to be too conservative on issues, and 47% called Harris “too liberal,” which had been a point made by Trump on the debate stage.

With the economy and inflation still leading voters’ top concerns when it comes to voting this November, Trump leads Harris on the issue by 7 points in who Americans trust more to handle the job. While the two are evenly matched on crime and safety, Trump leads by 10 points over Harris on immigration, with the vice president leading by 9 points on health care and 14 points on abortion, data shows.



https://dailycaller.com/2024/09/15/h...idential-race/

[CaboChris]

Kamala fucked up not picking Shapiro. Trump also almost got killed in Pennsylvania.

Trump ekes out win by a pubic hair.

[Dave's Dreidel]

There is no path to victory for him without picking off either Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.

He has to get one of them and hold court everywhere he is expected to win.

[I Coulda Hada VH]

There is no path to victory for him without picking off either Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.

He has to get one of them and hold court everywhere he is expected to win.

In the map you posted, they had Kamala winning Nevada. Will she? That being said, Trump still needs either PA, MI or WI to get to 270. I honestly think he will.

[bklynboy68]

In the map you posted, they had Kamala winning Nevada. Will she? That being said, Trump still needs either PA, MI or WI to get to 270. I honestly think he will.

I have written Michigan off due to the shenanigans that Whitmer and Benson have pulled with election law. Trump SHOULD win there but I don't see it. If the Arab vote is dead serious against voting for her, and it looks like they are so far, Michigan will be very close and it explains the moves by Whitmer and Benson. Maybe they foresaw that?

Expect lawsuits galore

[CaboChris]

I'm not even tripping. Trump will take this. He's going to win at LEAST one of those 3 major battleground states. That secures the presidency. Btw, she's not winning my state.

[bklynboy68]

Now it’s Linsey’s turn



ABC Moderator Linsey Davis Admits: ‘Fact-checking’ Was Only Planned for Trump

Joel B. Pollak 15 Sep 2024


https://www.breitbart.com/the-media/...ned-for-trump/

https://www.latimes.com/entertainmen...s-trump-debate

[Dave's Dreidel]

I'm not even tripping. Trump will take this. He's going to win at LEAST one of those 3 major battleground states. That secures the presidency. Btw, she's not winning my state.

I remember someone saying that about Georgia in 2020. It's the closest state in the polling, but, it really doesn't matter whether or not he wins Nevada. 6 ECV's doesn't do anything for him.

[CaboChris]

but, it really doesn't matter whether or not he wins Nevada. 6 ECV's doesn't do anything for him.

It's a matter of pride for me.

[Dave's Dreidel]

Went to the movies with the family last night, and all we saw was Trump yard sign after Trump yard sign, and he is going to get his ass kicked in Virginia. The suburbs closer to DC, Richmond, and the Tidewater area is where all the population is, and they will vote for Kamala in droves.