2007 VHLINK'S Hurricane Thread...
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  1. #1
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    Default 2007 VHLINK'S Hurricane Thread...



    here we go again...

    Atlantic's 1st named storm forms early, 3 weeks before season

    By RUSS BYNUM
    Associated Press Writer

    TYBEE ISLAND, Ga. (AP) -- Five-foot waves crashed by the pier and 26 mph gusts whipped clouds of sand into the faces of tourists as the first named storm of 2007 formed Wednesday off the Georgia coast - three weeks before the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season.

    Subtropical Storm Andrea churned Wednesday about 100 miles southeast of Savannah. The National Hurricane Center predicted the storm wouldn't pose much of a threat. But its early appearance was unnerving to some in this beach tourist town.

    "I don't think it's a good sign," said Ashley Pagan, 24, who took cover from the wind during a cigarette break outside the beachside souvenir shop where she works. "It's not even hurricane season. That's kind of scary."

    The storm had top sustained winds of about 45 mph Wednesday. The hurricane center in Miami issued a tropical storm watch for parts of Georgia and Florida, meaning tropical storm conditions are possible within 36 hours.

    "We're not looking at this system strengthening significantly," said Richard Pasch, a senior hurricane specialist at the center. "We're not viewing this as a major threat."

    At 5 p.m. EDT, Andrea was centered about 105 miles southeast of Savannah and about 125 miles northeast of Daytona Beach. The storm was moving west at about 5 mph.

    "The tide is still up to the seawall. We've lost a couple feet of beach about everywhere," Volusia County, Fla., Beach Patrol Capt. Scott Petersohn said.

    Waves lapped at the bottom of stairwells that would ordinarily lead pedestrians to the sand. Authorities suspended driving on the beach and urged extreme caution because of the choppy waves.

    "Don't go out. Stay on the shore," Petersohn said. "We're going to be dealing with this rough surf, and then riptides."

    Strong winds and waves carved sand from some South Carolina beaches, and gas and power lines were shut off Wednesday as a precaution when water lapped at the base of several homes and condominiums, officials said.

    At Isle of Palms, about 14 miles east of Charleston, city administrator Linda Lovven Tucker said gas and power lines to several uninhabited homes and condominiums along the northern end of the island had been disconnected.

    "This is way too early," Tucker said of the storm conditions typically seen at the height of hurricane season, which officially begins June 1.

    Isle of Palms Mayor Mike Sottile said the city had requested a special permit from the state to use 50-gallon sand bags to shore up parts of the dunes in the area. Normally, property owners are only allowed to use 5-gallon bags that must be replaced after each high tide.

    The storm's winds were also blowing smoke from wildfires burning in southeast Georgia and Florida, though it didn't appear they would hinder firefighting efforts, said Jim Harrell, a spokesman for Florida's Division of Forestry.

    Battling the blazes won't get much immediate help from rain. Forecasters said no significant downpours were expected over land through at least Thursday morning. The storm's lightning could also spark off more fires, meteorologists said.

    Coast Guard officials in South Carolina said they had rescued one of two kayakers who had been missing since the day before when they were seen leaving Seabrook Island, S.C. Jeremy Scott, 28, of Atlanta, was found about five miles east of Fripp Island. Authorities were continuing to search for Stephen Lee, 27, of Atlanta.

    Already, wind-driven waves have been causing coastal erosion in South Carolina, Georgia and Florida and the ocean has lapped at beachfront homes and condominiums.

    Subtropical systems are hybrid weather formations that are usually weaker than hurricanes and tropical storms. They're a kind of half-breed, sharing characteristics of tropical systems, which get their power from warm ocean water at their centers, and more typical bad weather that forms when warm and cold fronts collide, Pasch said.

    Forecasters said Andrea has the warm center characteristic of tropical storms, but its core isn't very well defined. Also, its winds are farther out from the center than they would be in a tropical storm.

    Typically about one subtropical storm forms each year, but they often turn into tropical storms. That doesn't appear to be the case with Andrea, senior hurricane specialist Jack Beven said. It only has a small area of warmer water to draw energy from and is also facing dry winds.

    He said it wasn't unusual for the storm to form in May, outside the hurricane season that starts June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

    "What we call the hurricane season is a totally manmade creation. Nature doesn't always pay attention to that," Beven said.

    Eighteen tropical storms and four hurricanes have been recorded in May since 1851, and none of the hurricanes made landfall in the U.S. The earliest hurricane to strike the U.S. was Alma in northwest Florida on June 9, 1966.

    Private and university forecasters have predicted that the 2007 season will be especially active, producing up to 17 tropical storms and hurricanes and a "well above average" possibility of at least one striking the U.S. The federal government plans to release its predictions May 22.

    The Atlantic basin has been in a busy period for hurricanes since 1995. Some federal forecasters believe this is part of a natural cycle. But the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a U.N.-sponsored group, says global warming caused by humans has led to an increase in stronger hurricanes.
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    Non stop wind for days here in Myrtle Beach.
    And God heard the voice of the lad. Then the angel of God called to Hagar out of heaven, and said to her, “What ails you, Hagar? Genesis 21:17

  3. #3
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    South Florida's favorite time of the year.

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    Anyone else enjoying the "camp fire" smell and haze? Looks like it will be here through the weekend.
    "The reasonable man adapts himself to the world; the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the unreasonable man."
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    Everyone be safe this season!
    "What we are dealing with here, is a complete lack of respect for the law" - Jackie Gleason, Smokey and the Bandit

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    Everyone in the Gulf, look out!

    Dean strengthens to Category 3 hurricane

    (CNN) -- Dean strengthened to a Category 3 hurricane Friday with dangerous 125 mph winds as it pounded Caribbean islands and headed toward the Gulf of Mexico.


    Dean has prompted warnings in Puerto Rico, Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

    more photos » The storm claimed its first fatality, after a 62-year-old man disappeared in a rain-swollen river while trying to save a cow, police told The Associated Press.

    Another storm system, remnants of Tropical Storm Erin, triggered widespread flooding in Texas that contributed to at least seven deaths, according to local news reports.

    Dean, a quickly strengthening storm, crossed the 111-mph Category 3 threshold on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale Friday afternoon, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida. Watch Dean rake islands and Erin soak Texas »

    Forecasters predicted Dean would approach Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula by Monday with maximum sustained winds around 150 mph. That's just under the 155-mph threshold which would make Dean a most-powerful Category 5 hurricane, reported CNN meteorologist Bonnie Schneider.

    Friday Dean pounded the islands of Dominica, St. Lucia and Martinique. Residents of Martinique told The Associated Press that Dean triggered landslides and scores of people were left homeless by floods and 100-mph winds.

    "The sea swelled, crossed the road and invaded homes," a woman identified as Lucie told a local radio station, according to AP.

    Dangerous winds ripped a corrugated metal roof off a pediatric ward at Victoria Hospital in St. Lucia's capital, Castries, AP reported. No injuries were reported, AP said, and patients had been evacuated.

    Flooding and wind-swept debris have turned St. Lucia into "a total mess," state radio reported, according to AP.

    Storm surges shoved sea-wall boulders onto roads, AP reported, and a boat was seen sitting on a road after forces of nature carried it from the sea.

    Dean is forecast to dump up to 2 inches of rain on Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with isolated amounts of up to 5 inches. The hurricane is expected to strengthen during the next 24 hours, the center said. See Hurricane Dean's projected route »

    The storm is forecast to strengthen into a Category 4 hurricane, with winds in excess of 131 mph, before bearing down on Jamaica on Sunday morning.

    Forecasters posted tropical storm warnings for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

    Josephine Marcelus of Morne Rouge, Martinique, described the storm to The Associated Press as it slammed the island. "We don't have a roof ... everything is exposed. We tried to save what we could," Marcelus told AP. "We sealed ourselves in one room, praying that the hurricane stops blowing over Martinique."

    At 1:45 p.m. ET, Dean's center was about 175 miles (280 kilometers) west of Martinique, moving west at about 22 mph (35 kilometers per hour), according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Forecasters said the storm could dump as much as 10 inches of rain in some mountainous areas, which could trigger flash floods and mudslides. Storm surge flooding as high as 4 feet was also forecast, with battering waves.

    Tropical storm warnings continue for the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Grenada, Saba, St. Eustatius, Montserrat, Antigua, Nevis, St. Kitts, Barbuda, St. Maarten and Anguilla. Tropical storm warnings for Barbados, St. Vincent and The Grenadines have been discontinued, the hurricane center said.

    A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions, including winds of at least 39 mph, are expected within 24 hours.

    Erin dumps rain on Texas

    Erin made landfall early Thursday near the city of Lamar, north of Corpus Christi, as a tropical depression, with winds of 35 mph.

    However, one of Erin's rain bands parked itself over the city of Houston, dumping 6 inches of rain in about four hours.

    Video footage showed cars and trucks trying to navigate roads that were largely underwater. As of 4 p.m. ET, the city had received between 6 and 8 inches of rain and authorities had performed 70 high-water rescues, according to the office of Houston Mayor Bill White. See dramatic images as Erin soaks Texas »

    One person was killed and another was injured when a storage unit behind a grocery store collapsed, White's office said. CNN affiliate KHOU reported the roof of an office building also collapsed, but there were no injuries.

    The region between Corpus Christi, Austin and Houston has already surpassed its average yearly rainfall totals, with some areas getting as much as 4 feet of rain so far this year.

    Austin has had nearly 40 inches of rain as of Thursday, about an inch above that city's normal average for the entire year.

    Corpus Christi has had about 33 inches so far this year, 15 inches more than it usually has by mid-August. And Houston has had 40 inches of precipitation as of Thursday, nearly a foot more than it usually has at this time of year, according to National Weather Service archives.
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    Looks like the US is getting lucky this time.



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    Still getting the occasional high winds and smattering of rain, which did accomplish one rather unexpected result this weekend: the weather put into immediate relief the shoddy nature of the repair work performed upon this house from the last time we encountered a major storm.

    Nearly half of our screens are in the process of blowing out, due to the improper sized splines put into use by our contractor. I've spent the weekend putting them back into place, with the grim reassurance that if they can not hold up to a windstorm, chances are I'm pretty well fucked if a real hurricane should come along.

    I've already decided to sawzall the entire enclosure if indeed this happens, rather than replace everything. The "screw-ya first" insurance companies here would find a way not to pay out in any event. Plus with the prices for scrap aluminum being what they currently are, I'll be able to afford a few luxuries I had not planned on enjoying.
    "The reasonable man adapts himself to the world; the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the unreasonable man."
    George Bernard Shaw

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    Here is the latest projected path of Tropical Storm Noel, from the National Hurricane Center...



    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...523.shtml?5day
    "The reasonable man adapts himself to the world; the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the unreasonable man."
    George Bernard Shaw

 

 

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